Expected Return on Investment
Similar to other long-term investments, the expected return on investment is a critical consideration in cryptocurrency investments. The expected return (sometimes called mean value) of an investment quantifies the relationship between risk and return. This calculation allows you to compare investments to decide which fit best in your portfolio.
Let’s say you are considering investing in Venture A. Project A is a speculative investment with a higher than average risk of losing everything, but if it succeeds you will receive a high rate of return. After research, you calculate the possibility of failure to be 90 percent and the possibility of success to be 10 percent. If Venture A fails, you will lose all your investment. If it succeeds, your investment will multiply by a hundred-fold.
|Investment||Possible Loss||Possible Gain||Expected Return|
|(.10)*($2,000,000) = $200,000||$182,000|
The expected return is the weighted average of the amount you risk and the amount you might make. In this simplified scenario, if you invested $20,000 in Venture A the expected return is $182,000, or a 9.1 multiple. By comparing this multiple to other investment opportunities, you can determine the best fit for your retirement portfolio.
Bitcoin as a Long-Term Investment
Only 21 million Bitcoins will be created. Once the last Bitcoin is mined, there will be no more. This fixed number means that as long as demand for Bitcoin exists, the price will increase. Even though Bitcoin has existed longer and has more publicity than other blockchain technologies, it is still in its infancy. Over time, the volatility is likely to stabilize as more blockchain solutions are successfully implemented around the globe. Institutional investors are beginning to consider cryptocurrencies for small portions of their diversified portfolios. This is a signal that confidence in the future value of cryptocurrencies is growing.
All markets are volatile by nature and need time to grow. Cryptocurrency markets have proliferated in the last decade, and the trend will continue. New opportunities based on blockchain technologies are appearing rapidly. Some institutional investors see Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as a safe haven asset that protects wealth during periods of political and economic uncertainty. Smart contracts built on blockchain technologies may transform the legal industry. Intelligent assets may digitalize bills of lading and letters of credit to revolutionize supply chain management. The blockchain is the perfect tracking system for keeping track of who is sending what and tracking tax payments. Not all of these ideas will be winners, but many blockchain ventures will be hugely profitable.
Find the Answers You Need
The right retirement investment for you depends on your situation, goals, and adversity to risk. If you are someone who loses sleep at night if the Dow drops a few points, then you may want to wait until the cryptocurrency markets mature a bit more. If you are comfortable investing a portion of your retirement portfolio in a higher risk venture that might have a huge return, then take time to research cryptocurrencies. We have specialists available to help you formulate the right questions and research answers. Call anytime; we won’t pressure you to invest – just help you find the accurate and reliable information you need to make the decision right for you.
Eight years ago today, the first reported exchange of bitcoin for a consumer product – a pair of Papa John’s pizzas – took place. At a total cost of 10,000 bitcoins, it was a milestone for the adoption of cryptocurrency and one that has since been commemorated though the celebration of May 22 as “Bitcoin Pizza Day.”
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